Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.893121 1.994714 2.100088 2.217794 2.345904 2.481448 2.636137
2026-01-18 1.770643 1.923096 2.088845 2.283553 2.507476 2.758715 3.064477
2026-01-25 1.638956 1.822259 2.029042 2.282058 2.586756 2.946481 3.410464
2026-02-01 1.517272 1.718207 1.951614 2.246824 2.616291 3.072048 3.691244
2026-02-08 1.401832 1.610182 1.857801 2.179365 2.594647 3.126077 3.881229
2026-02-15 1.320134 1.535563 1.796887 2.144495 2.606668 3.219071 4.128280
2026-02-22 1.262699 1.485982 1.762050 2.137719 2.651420 3.355889 4.449363
2026-03-01 1.204458 1.431200 1.716038 2.111165 2.664670 3.446950 4.710890
2026-03-08 1.131632 1.353657 1.635666 2.032180 2.597231 3.413402 4.771748
2026-03-15 1.092381 1.317355 1.606992 2.021073 2.623944 3.519153 5.067442
2026-03-22 1.082990 1.319248 1.628581 2.080228 2.756130 3.796767 5.692257
2026-03-29 1.055333 1.295223 1.613294 2.085161 2.806414 3.948847 6.118698
2026-04-05 1.031219 1.276798 1.607289 2.106991 2.890592 4.176051 6.751076
2026-04-12 1.011333 1.263428 1.607892 2.139092 2.994867 4.452784 7.552256
2026-04-19 0.978038 1.230013 1.578267 2.123401 3.020052 4.593648 8.104777
2026-04-26 0.940431 1.188976 1.535617 2.084763 3.003344 4.655364 8.495659
2026-05-03 0.898307 1.139960 1.479160 2.021129 2.938748 4.618743 8.645203
2026-05-10 0.867613 1.106082 1.443486 1.988346 2.924994 4.679163 9.053623
2026-05-17 0.845993 1.084350 1.424761 1.981452 2.956019 4.832245 9.749161
2026-05-24 0.821232 1.057144 1.396593 1.957374 2.953754 4.916202 10.280782
2026-05-31 0.785859 1.013411 1.341848 1.886736 2.860917 4.798263 10.191622
2026-06-07 0.767789 0.994441 1.324082 1.876717 2.880143 4.924685 10.888797
2026-06-14 0.766136 0.999465 1.343132 1.929430 3.022189 5.344043 12.710730